What We Build

Prediction Markets & Trading Intelligence

Calibrated probability models, global markets intelligence, and custom fine-tuning — built for prediction market platforms and quantitative trading.

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Core Offering

Prediction Market & Trading Models

AI models built specifically for prediction markets, trading, and quantitative finance. Calibrated probability estimation, market-making optimization, event forecasting, and trading signal generation.

  • Calibrated probability estimation — event resolution models with sub-2% Brier scores
  • Market-making optimization — liquidity analysis, spread modeling, and order flow prediction
  • Event forecasting — geopolitical, economic, and social event probability models
  • Trading signal generation and real-time market sentiment analysis
  • Portfolio optimization and quantitative strategy development
  • API delivery — integrate directly into your trading workflow
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Data Layer

Global Markets Intelligence

The data layer that powers your prediction models. Event signal detection, geopolitical and economic triggers, news and social sentiment analysis, influence campaign detection, and entity resolution — aggregated from multiple sources without third-party data exposure. Custom intelligence feeds tailored to your market focus.

  • Event signal detection — identify market-moving events before they're priced in
  • Geopolitical and economic trigger monitoring across global markets
  • News and social media sentiment analysis with source credibility scoring
  • Influence campaign detection — identify coordinated inauthentic behavior affecting markets
  • Entity resolution — connect signals across sources without data leakage
  • Custom intelligence feeds tailored to your specific prediction market or trading domain
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Custom Models

Custom Model Fine-Tuning

We take open-weight AI models and fine-tune them for your specific prediction market or trading use case. The result is a model that understands your market and your edge.

  • Fine-tuning on trading data, market history, and domain knowledge
  • Open-weight model selection — choose the right base model for your use case
  • Domain-specific optimization for prediction markets, trading, and quantitative finance
  • Data preparation, curation, and quality assessment
  • Evaluation and benchmarking against your existing models and baselines
  • Delivered as software and APIs you own and control
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Your Prediction Models Are Your Edge.

Calibrated probability models, global intelligence, and custom fine-tuning for prediction markets.

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